Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Brandon Hagel vs Kirill Marchenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Hagel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Hagel for 1.8 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.

Brandon Hagel has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hagel's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Forecheck xG /60 0.37, Expected goals 59.8%.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.4%, Power-play share 77.5%, Power-play points 23.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brandon Hagel

2.15

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHagelMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.950.63
Assists (+1)0.500.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.29
Hits (+0.1)0.060.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hagel vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HagelMarchenko
6Team record in 11 meetings5
14Points in those games14

Hagel 4G 10A, 24 SOG · Marchenko 7G 7A, 37 SOG

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)

11:09 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hagel's side

Shot attempts
14–10
58.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
42.9%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between Brandon Hagel and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreHagelMarchenko
2026-03-10TBL 2–5 CBJ0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2026-01-24TBL 5–8 CBJ0G 2A 2S0G 2A 3S
2025-10-18TBL 2–3 CBJ0G 0A 4S1G 0A 5S
2025-03-04TBL 6–2 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-17TBL 5–3 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 2A 6S
2024-11-21TBL 6–7 CBJ1G 1A 3S0G 2A 3S
2024-04-09TBL 5–2 CBJ0G 2A 5S2G 0A 4S
2024-02-10TBL 4–2 CBJ1G 2A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-02TBL 2–4 CBJ0G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2023-01-10TBL 6–3 CBJ0G 1A 0S1G 0A 1S
2022-12-15TBL 4–1 CBJ2G 1A 3S1G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HagelMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brandon Hagel

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Brandon Hagel or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brandon Hagel or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hagel and Marchenko done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 6–5. Hagel had 14 points (4 goals) and Marchenko had 14 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →