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Who to start · 2025-26

Brandon Hagel vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Hagel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hagel for 1.8 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Brandon Hagel has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Hagel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +34, On-ice PDO 1032, Fenwick 57.9%.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Offensive-zone time 46.0%, Power-play share 86.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brandon Hagel

2.26

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHagelNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)1.010.56
Assists (+1)0.540.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.18
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.270.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hagel vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HagelNugent-Hopkins
5Team record in 9 meetings4
7Points in those games7

Hagel 4G 3A, 17 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 1G 6A, 26 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Hagel's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Hagel's defensive zone 0–1 (2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)

5:32 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Hagel's side

Shot attempts
12–3
80.0%
Expected goals
1.3–0.1
93.1%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Brandon Hagel and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreHagelNugent-Hopkins
2026-03-21TBL 5–2 EDM0G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-25TBL 4–1 EDM1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-10TBL 1–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-14TBL 7–4 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 2A 6S
2023-11-18TBL 6–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2023-01-19TBL 3–5 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2022-11-08TBL 2–3 EDM1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-02-09CHI 4–1 EDM1G 1A 1S0G 0A 9S
2021-11-20CHI 2–5 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HagelNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brandon Hagel

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Brandon Hagel or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brandon Hagel or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hagel and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 5–4. Hagel had 7 points (4 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 7 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Hagel or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Hagel has won 0 and Nugent-Hopkins 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →