Who to start · 2025-26
Brent Burns vs Gabriel Vilardi
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38.
Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games.
This week Burns has 1 game left; Vilardi has 1 left. We project Vilardi for 1.8 ESPN points to Burns's 1.4.
Brent Burns has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Burns's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.90, Plus/minus +33, Goals above expected +4.8.
Vilardi's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 65.5%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.014.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brent Burns
1.38
fantasy points per game
Gabriel Vilardi
1.76
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Gabriel Vilardi has the edge.
| Points per game from | Burns | Vilardi |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.69 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Burns vs Vilardi
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Burns 1G 6A, 27 SOG · Vilardi 1G 4A, 19 SOG
Burns blocked 2 of Vilardi's shots; Vilardi blocked 0 of Burns's.
On the ice against each other (Burns's side)
15:07 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Burns's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–12
- 57.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.2
- 75.5%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Burns | Vilardi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | COL 2–4 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2026-03-26 | COL 3–2 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-03-14 | COL 1–3 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3–2 WPG | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-09 | CAR 4–2 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-04 | CAR 0–3 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-04 | CAR 1–2 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-03 | CAR 4–2 LAK | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-17 | SJS 0–3 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-10 | SJS 2–4 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-03 | SJS 3–2 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-04-02 | SJS 3–0 LAK | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brent Burns
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.4 pts
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brent Burns or Gabriel Vilardi in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38. Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brent Burns or Gabriel Vilardi?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brent Burns leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Burns and Vilardi done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Burns's team went 9–7. Burns had 7 points (1 goals) and Vilardi had 5 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →