Who to start · 2025-26
Brent Burns vs Parker Kelly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38.
Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.
This week Burns has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Kelly has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Burns for 0.9 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Parker Kelly has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Burns's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.90, Power-play time per game 0:40, Power-play share 16.9%.
Kelly's biggest edges: Hits 177, Blocked shots 58, Ascension score 55.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brent Burns
1.38
fantasy points per game
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Parker Kelly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Burns | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.22 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.55 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Burns vs Kelly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Burns 0G 2A, 8 SOG · Kelly 1G 3A, 5 SOG
Burns blocked 0 of Kelly's shots; Kelly blocked 5 of Burns's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
347:12 at 5-on-5 over 95 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 394–314
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 13.2–12.9
- 50.6%
- Goals
- 16–11
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Burns | Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-05 | CAR 5–3 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-11-09 | CAR 4–6 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-17 | CAR 7–2 OTT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-12 | CAR 4–1 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-11 | CAR 5–3 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2021-11-24 | SJS 6–3 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brent Burns
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows 3rd-most FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brent Burns or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38. Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brent Burns or Parker Kelly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Burns and Kelly done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Burns's team went 5–1. Burns had 2 points (0 goals) and Kelly had 4 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →