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Who to start · 2025-26

Brent Burns vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38.

Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Burns has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.2 ESPN points to Burns's 1.4.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Burns's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1021, Luck Meter +60, Goals above expected +4.8.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Offensive-zone start % 69.0%, Hits 81.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brent Burns

1.37

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBurnsJarvis
Goals (+2)0.290.90
Assists (+1)0.280.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.32
Hits (+0.1)0.020.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.550.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Burns vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BurnsJarvis
1Team record in 3 meetings2
0Points in those games3

Burns 0G 0A, 6 SOG · Jarvis 1G 2A, 8 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other3

Burns blocked 0 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 3 of Burns's.

5Goals set up by the other14

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Burns's side)

6:53 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Burns's side

Shot attempts
8–5
61.5%
Expected goals
0.4–0.1
81.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brent Burns and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreBurnsJarvis
2025-10-23COL 4–5 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2022-01-30SJS 1–2 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-22SJS 2–1 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BurnsJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brent Burns

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.4 pts

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Brent Burns or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38. Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brent Burns or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Burns and Jarvis done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Burns's team went 1–2. Burns had 0 points (0 goals) and Jarvis had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →