Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Boeser vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Boeser's 1.68.
Boeser had 48 points in 75 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week Boeser has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Boeser for 3.1 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
John Carlson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Boeser's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.051, Hits 54, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.13.
Carlson's biggest edges: Fenwick 54.3%, Corsi 54.5%, Transition attempts /60 0.96.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Boeser
1.68
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Boeser | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.64 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.42 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Boeser vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Boeser 5G 9A, 31 SOG · Carlson 4G 12A, 39 SOG
Boeser blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 1 of Boeser's.
On the ice against each other (Boeser's side)
16:41 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Boeser's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–20
- 37.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–1.1
- 30.2%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Boeser | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | VAN 4–3 ANA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-24 | VAN 3–5 ANA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2026-01-21 | VAN 4–3 WSH | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2025-01-25 | VAN 2–1 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-08 | VAN 1–2 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-16 | VAN 1–2 WSH | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-02-11 | VAN 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-29 | VAN 1–5 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-17 | VAN 4–6 WSH | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-11 | VAN 3–4 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2019-11-23 | VAN 2–1 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-10-25 | VAN 5–6 WSH | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Boeser
4games (2 left)
3.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.8 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to RWSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.3 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Boeser or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Boeser's 1.68. Boeser had 48 points in 75 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Boeser or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Boeser and Carlson done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Boeser's team went 6–10. Boeser had 14 points (5 goals) and Carlson had 16 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →