Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Charlie McAvoy
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; McAvoy had 61 in 69 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; McAvoy has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: Scoring chances 58.3%, Corsi 57.5%, High-danger chances 57.1%.
McAvoy's biggest edges: Luck Meter +60, Transition attempts /60 0.56, Hits 79.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.00
fantasy points per game
Charlie McAvoy
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | McAvoy |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.32 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.72 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.40 | 0.93 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs McAvoy
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 9G 8A, 61 SOG · McAvoy 3G 25A, 57 SOG
Nelson blocked 0 of McAvoy's shots; McAvoy blocked 2 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
9:08 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–8
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.1
- 45.9%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | McAvoy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | COL 2–3 BOS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-18 | COL 4–1 BOS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-05 | NYI 5–4 BOS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-27 | NYI 3–6 BOS | 2G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-03-02 | NYI 5–1 BOS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-02-18 | NYI 2–6 BOS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-01-18 | NYI 1–4 BOS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-12-13 | NYI 3–4 BOS | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-03-26 | NYI 3–6 BOS | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2022-02-17 | NYI 4–1 BOS | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-12-16 | NYI 3–1 BOS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-06-09 · PO | NYI 6–2 BOS | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 33 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Charlie McAvoy
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Charlie McAvoy in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; McAvoy had 61 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Charlie McAvoy?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and McAvoy done against each other?
- In 33 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 15–18. Nelson had 17 points (9 goals) and McAvoy had 28 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →