Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Colton Parayko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Parayko had 18 in 77 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Parayko has 1 left. We project Parayko for 2.0 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: Corsi 57.5%, Goals above expected +1.1, Plus/minus +15.
Parayko's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.62, Hits 95, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.14.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Colton Parayko
1.73
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Parayko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 0.10 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.23 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 1.14 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Parayko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 5G 12A, 39 SOG · Parayko 2G 1A, 29 SOG
Nelson blocked 0 of Parayko's shots; Parayko blocked 1 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
15:13 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 32–5
- 86.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.1
- 87.5%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Parayko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | COL 3–1 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-05 | COL 2–3 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6–1 STL | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-23 | NYI 3–1 STL | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-17 | NYI 0–1 STL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-05 | NYI 4–2 STL | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-22 | NYI 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-06 | NYI 4–7 STL | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-03 | NYI 5–2 STL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-09 | NYI 1–6 STL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-03-05 | NYI 2–1 STL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2020-02-27 | NYI 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Colton Parayko
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 9th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Colton Parayko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Parayko had 18 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Colton Parayko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Parayko done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 10–7. Nelson had 17 points (5 goals) and Parayko had 3 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →