Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Dylan Guenther
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Guenther has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.000, Faceoffs won 735, Blocked shots 65.
Guenther's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.52, Luck Meter +42, Hardest shot 91.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Dylan Guenther
2.36
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Guenther |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 1.20 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Guenther
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 1G 1A, 12 SOG · Guenther 6G 0A, 21 SOG
Nelson blocked 0 of Guenther's shots; Guenther blocked 1 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
18:39 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 22–17
- 56.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.6
- 58.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Guenther |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | COL 4–2 UTA | 1G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-23 | COL 1–0 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-10-21 | COL 3–4 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-09 | COL 2–1 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2024-10-10 | NYI 4–5 UTA | 0G 1A 2S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-10 | NYI 0–2 ARI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Dylan Guenther
3games (2 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Dylan Guenther in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Dylan Guenther?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Guenther done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 3–3. Nelson had 2 points (1 goals) and Guenther had 6 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →