Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Filip Hronek
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hronek has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Expected goals 60.0%, Sequence xG 59.8%.
Hronek's biggest edges: Hits 133, Transition attempts /60 0.80, Ascension score 52.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Filip Hronek
2.03
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Hronek |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.68 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.71 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Hronek
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 9G 4A, 37 SOG · Hronek 3G 6A, 22 SOG
Nelson blocked 1 of Hronek's shots; Hronek blocked 1 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
16:59 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 24–12
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–0.3
- 81.6%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Hronek |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | COL 6–8 VAN | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-12-02 | COL 3–1 VAN | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-09 | COL 5–4 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-10 | COL 1–4 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-14 | NYI 5–2 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-09 | NYI 2–5 VAN | 2G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-15 | NYI 3–4 VAN | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-27 | NYI 2–0 DET | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-05 | NYI 0–3 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-03-24 | NYI 5–2 DET | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-12-14 | NYI 1–2 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2020-01-14 | NYI 8–2 DET | 2G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Filip Hronek
4games (2 left)
3.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Filip Hronek in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Filip Hronek?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Hronek done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 8–7. Nelson had 13 points (9 goals) and Hronek had 9 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →