Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Macklin Celebrini
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Celebrini has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.000, High-danger chances 57.1%, Fenwick 57.3%.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Luck Meter +76, Ascension score 62, Hardest shot 97.9.
Head to head on the dot, Nelson leads Celebrini 13–12.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Macklin Celebrini
3.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.99 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Celebrini
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 2G 1A, 9 SOG · Celebrini 1G 0A, 14 SOG
Nelson's offensive zone 3–3 · neutral 5–3 · Nelson's defensive zone 5–6 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
Nelson blocked 0 of Celebrini's shots; Celebrini blocked 1 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
18:57 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–10
- 61.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.5
- 51.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | COL 4–2 SJS | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-26 | COL 6–0 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-01 | COL 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-01-18 | NYI 4–1 SJS | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Macklin Celebrini
2games (1 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Macklin Celebrini?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Celebrini done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 3–1. Nelson had 3 points (2 goals) and Celebrini had 1 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nelson or Celebrini?
- Against each other, Nelson has won 13 and Celebrini 12 of their 25 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →