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Who to start · 2025-26

Bryan Rust vs Charlie McAvoy

In 2025-26, Charlie McAvoy scored 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bryan Rust's 2.28.

Rust had 65 points in 72 games; McAvoy had 61 in 69 games.

This week Rust has 1 game left; McAvoy has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Bryan Rust has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Rust's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 63.3%, Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Shorthanded points 2.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.56, Hits 79.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Bryan Rust

2.28

fantasy points per game

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRustMcAvoy
Goals (+2)0.810.32
Assists (+1)0.500.72
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.16
Hits (+0.1)0.050.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rust vs McAvoy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RustMcAvoy
10Team record in 24 meetings14
12Points in those games16

Rust 6G 6A, 65 SOG · McAvoy 1G 15A, 42 SOG

4Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other3

Rust blocked 2 of McAvoy's shots; McAvoy blocked 3 of Rust's.

On the ice against each other (Rust's side)

14:33 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rust's side

Shot attempts
10–15
40.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.5
49.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Bryan Rust and Charlie McAvoy
DateScoreRustMcAvoy
2026-03-08PIT 5–4 BOS0G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2026-03-03PIT 1–2 BOS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-29PIT 2–1 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-13PIT 4–6 BOS1G 0A 7S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-04PIT 6–5 BOS0G 1A 2S0G 2A 1S
2023-04-01PIT 3–4 BOS2G 1A 4S1G 0A 1S
2023-01-02PIT 1–2 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-21PIT 4–0 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2022-04-16PIT 1–2 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2022-02-08PIT 4–2 BOS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2021-04-27PIT 1–3 BOS0G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2021-04-25PIT 1–0 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RustMcAvoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Bryan Rust

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

FAQ

Should I start Bryan Rust or Charlie McAvoy in fantasy hockey?
In 2025-26, Charlie McAvoy scored 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bryan Rust's 2.28. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; McAvoy had 61 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Bryan Rust or Charlie McAvoy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Bryan Rust leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rust and McAvoy done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Rust's team went 10–14. Rust had 12 points (6 goals) and McAvoy had 16 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →