Who to start · 2025-26
Bryan Rust vs Seth Jarvis
In 2025-26, Bryan Rust scored 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Rust has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Rust's 2.2.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Rust's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1019, Blocked shots 71, Luck Meter +32.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Transition attempts /60 1.50, Expected goals 54.2%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Bryan Rust
2.28
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rust | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rust vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rust 7G 7A, 34 SOG · Jarvis 6G 10A, 38 SOG
Rust blocked 1 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 0 of Rust's.
On the ice against each other (Rust's side)
15:41 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Rust's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–17
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.9
- 56.5%
- Goals
- 3–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rust | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | PIT 1–5 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2026-03-18 | PIT 5–6 CAR | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2026-03-10 | PIT 4–5 CAR | 2G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 9S |
| 2025-01-05 | PIT 3–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-18 | PIT 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-26 | PIT 4–1 CAR | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-13 | PIT 2–3 CAR | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-18 | PIT 2–4 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-14 | PIT 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-22 | PIT 3–4 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-12-18 | PIT 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-29 | PIT 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Bryan Rust
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Bryan Rust or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Bryan Rust scored 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Bryan Rust or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rust and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Rust's team went 1–13. Rust had 14 points (7 goals) and Jarvis had 16 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →