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Who to start · 2025-26

Cale Makar vs Ryan O'Reilly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cale Makar projects to 2.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.

Makar had 79 points in 75 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Makar has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Makar for 2.0 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.

Cale Makar has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Makar's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, Transition attempts /60 0.69, Offensive-zone start % 67.3%.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.2, Shorthanded points 3, Blocked shots 66.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cale Makar

2.70

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cale Makar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMakarO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.500.58
Assists (+1)0.860.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.830.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Makar vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MakarO'Reilly
22Team record in 36 meetings14
35Points in those games32

Makar 8G 27A, 93 SOG · O'Reilly 13G 19A, 84 SOG

2Hits on each other1
4Shots blocked by the other6

Makar blocked 4 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 6 of Makar's.

On the ice against each other (Makar's side)

33:57 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Makar's side

Shot attempts
37–45
45.1%
Expected goals
1.4–1.7
45.4%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Cale Makar and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreMakarO'Reilly
2026-01-16COL 3–7 NSH0G 0A 1S3G 1A 6S
2025-12-13COL 4–2 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-09COL 3–4 NSH1G 0A 6S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-22COL 3–0 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-22COL 1–2 NSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-14COL 5–2 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-11COL 3–2 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-02COL 2–5 NSH1G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-30COL 7–4 NSH1G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-02COL 1–5 NSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-20COL 3–4 NSH0G 3A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-12-11COL 3–2 STL0G 1A 6S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 36 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MakarO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cale Makar

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Cale Makar or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cale Makar projects to 2.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Makar had 79 points in 75 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cale Makar or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cale Makar leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Makar and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 36 games against each other in our data, Makar's team went 22–14. Makar had 35 points (8 goals) and O'Reilly had 32 (13 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →