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Who to start · 2025-26

Carter Verhaeghe vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50.

Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Verhaeghe has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Wilson for 2.2 ESPN points to Verhaeghe's 1.6.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Verhaeghe's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.014, Transition attempts /60 1.78, Offensive-zone start % 57.9%.

Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Blocked shots 53, Hardest shot 91.2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Carter Verhaeghe

1.50

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVerhaegheWilson
Goals (+2)0.570.78
Assists (+1)0.400.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.20
Hits (+0.1)0.080.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Verhaeghe vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VerhaegheWilson
8Team record in 14 meetings6
9Points in those games18

Verhaeghe 2G 7A, 26 SOG · Wilson 10G 8A, 40 SOG

0Hits on each other2
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Verhaeghe's side)

6:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Verhaeghe's side

Shot attempts
3–5
37.5%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
39.9%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Carter Verhaeghe and Tom Wilson
DateScoreVerhaegheWilson
2025-12-29FLA 5–3 WSH0G 0A 3S2G 1A 6S
2025-11-13FLA 6–3 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-22FLA 3–6 WSH0G 0A 3S1G 1A 1S
2025-02-04FLA 3–6 WSH0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-11-25FLA 1–4 WSH0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-02-24FLA 3–2 WSH0G 1A 5S1G 0A 4S
2024-02-08FLA 4–2 WSH0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-08FLA 4–3 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-08FLA 4–2 WSH1G 0A 3S1G 1A 4S
2022-05-03 · POFLA 2–4 WSH0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2021-11-30FLA 5–4 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2021-11-26FLA 3–4 WSH1G 0A 1S1G 2A 4S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VerhaegheWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Carter Verhaeghe

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Schedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.6 pts

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.2 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Carter Verhaeghe or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50. Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Carter Verhaeghe or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Verhaeghe and Wilson done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Verhaeghe's team went 8–6. Verhaeghe had 9 points (2 goals) and Wilson had 18 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →