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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Clayton Keller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Keller has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Keller's 2.9.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.9, Faceoffs won 759, Blocked shots 56.

Keller's biggest edges: Fenwick 56.5%, Corsi 56.4%, Sequence xG 57.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.47

fantasy points per game

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonKeller
Goals (+2)0.500.59
Assists (+1)0.390.83
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.28
Hits (+0.1)0.020.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Keller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonKeller
15Team record in 28 meetings13
16Points in those games23

Stephenson 7G 9A, 26 SOG · Keller 11G 12A, 69 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other0

Stephenson's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Stephenson's defensive zone 1–0 (2020-21 to 2023-24)

1Shots blocked by the other0

Stephenson blocked 1 of Keller's shots; Keller blocked 0 of Stephenson's.

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

19:20 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
11–23
32.4%
Expected goals
0.7–1.7
27.5%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Clayton Keller
DateScoreStephensonKeller
2026-04-02SEA 2–6 UTA0G 1A 0S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-17SEA 3–6 UTA1G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-12-12SEA 3–5 UTA0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-08SEA 1–7 UTA0G 0A 0S1G 1A 4S
2025-03-14SEA 4–2 UTA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-30SEA 5–2 UTA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2024-04-05VGK 4–7 ARI1G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2024-02-08VGK 3–2 ARI1G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2023-11-25VGK 0–2 ARI0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2023-01-22VGK 1–4 ARI0G 0A 0S3G 0A 4S
2022-12-21VGK 5–2 ARI0G 2A 0S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-17VGK 4–1 ARI0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 28 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonKeller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Clayton Keller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Clayton Keller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Keller done against each other?
In 28 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 15–13. Stephenson had 16 points (7 goals) and Keller had 23 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Keller?
Against each other, Stephenson has won 2 and Keller 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →