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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Jake Guentzel

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Guentzel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.3, Draw Equity /100 +0.036, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.23.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.2%, Plus/minus +13, High-danger chances 55.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.47

fantasy points per game

Jake Guentzel

2.20

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonGuentzel
Goals (+2)0.500.88
Assists (+1)0.390.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.27
Hits (+0.1)0.020.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Guentzel

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonGuentzel
10Team record in 21 meetings11
8Points in those games25

Stephenson 4G 4A, 25 SOG · Guentzel 11G 14A, 59 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other3

Stephenson's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–3 · Stephenson's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

0Hits on each other1
1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

12:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
6–13
31.6%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
50.8%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Jake Guentzel
DateScoreStephensonGuentzel
2026-03-26SEA 4–3 TBL0G 1A 0S1G 1A 3S
2026-03-17SEA 2–6 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-02-23SEA 1–4 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-14SEA 1–5 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S
2024-01-20VGK 3–2 PIT0G 1A 5S1G 0A 1S
2023-11-19VGK 0–3 PIT0G 0A 4S0G 1A 5S
2023-01-05VGK 5–2 PIT1G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S
2022-12-01VGK 3–4 PIT0G 1A 2S1G 1A 5S
2022-03-11VGK 2–5 PIT0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-01-17VGK 3–5 PIT1G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2018-11-07WSH 2–1 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S
2018-10-04WSH 6–7 PIT0G 0A 0S2G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonGuentzel

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Jake Guentzel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Guentzel done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 10–11. Stephenson had 8 points (4 goals) and Guentzel had 25 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Guentzel?
Against each other, Stephenson has won 1 and Guentzel 3 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →