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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 759, Blocked shots 56, On-ice PDO 1009.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Fenwick 61.3%, Corsi 60.6%, Scoring chances 58.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.47

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nikolaj Ehlers has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonEhlers
Goals (+2)0.500.56
Assists (+1)0.390.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.26
Hits (+0.1)0.020.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonEhlers
6Team record in 15 meetings9
5Points in those games12

Stephenson 2G 3A, 14 SOG · Ehlers 6G 6A, 44 SOG

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

4:05 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
0–7
0.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
0.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreStephensonEhlers
2026-03-02SEA 2–1 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-03-16SEA 2–3 WPG0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-16SEA 1–2 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 1A 6S
2024-10-24SEA 3–4 WPG0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-28VGK 4–1 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2023-11-02VGK 5–2 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-19VGK 5–3 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 2A 2S
2023-04-27 · POVGK 4–1 WPG2G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-22VGK 0–4 WPG0G 0A 2S1G 1A 6S
2022-03-15VGK 3–7 WPG0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2022-01-02VGK 4–5 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S
2020-03-06VGK 0–4 WPG0G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonEhlers

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Ehlers done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 6–9. Stephenson had 5 points (2 goals) and Ehlers had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →