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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Parker Kelly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Kelly has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.

Parker Kelly has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.036, Power-play share 65.5%, Faceoff win % 52.1%.

Kelly's biggest edges: Scoring chances 58.5%, High-danger chances 58.5%, Sequence xG 57.6%.

Head to head on the dot, Stephenson leads Kelly 10–6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.47

fantasy points per game

Parker Kelly

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Parker Kelly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonKelly
Goals (+2)0.500.61
Assists (+1)0.390.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.13
Hits (+0.1)0.020.22
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Kelly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonKelly
3Team record in 10 meetings7
6Points in those games3

Stephenson 4G 2A, 20 SOG · Kelly 1G 2A, 18 SOG

10Faceoffs against each other6

Stephenson's offensive zone 3–3 · neutral 3–3 · Stephenson's defensive zone 4–0 (2023-24 to 2024-25)

2Shots blocked by the other1

Stephenson blocked 2 of Kelly's shots; Kelly blocked 1 of Stephenson's.

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

3:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
1–4
20.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.2
42.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Parker Kelly
DateScoreStephensonKelly
2026-04-16SEA 0–2 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2026-03-12SEA 1–5 COL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-16SEA 3–5 COL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-22SEA 2–5 COL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-05SEA 3–6 COL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-22SEA 2–3 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-24VGK 3–4 OTT2G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-17VGK 6–3 OTT1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-23VGK 4–1 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-06VGK 2–1 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonKelly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Parker Kelly

2games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Parker Kelly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Kelly done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 3–7. Stephenson had 6 points (4 goals) and Kelly had 3 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Kelly?
Against each other, Stephenson has won 10 and Kelly 6 of their 16 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →