Who to start · 2025-26
Chandler Stephenson vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.
Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Stephenson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.9, Luck Meter +23, Top skating speed 23.3.
Hertl's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Scoring chances 56.7%, Corsi 56.2%.
Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Stephenson 44–29.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Chandler Stephenson
1.47
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Stephenson | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Stephenson 4G 13A, 40 SOG · Hertl 7G 9A, 47 SOG
Stephenson's offensive zone 12–17 · neutral 4–8 · Stephenson's defensive zone 13–19 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Stephenson blocked 4 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 0 of Stephenson's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)
9:55 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–14
- 36.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.2
- 66.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Stephenson | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | SEA 1–4 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-04-09 | SEA 4–3 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-31 | SEA 3–2 VGK | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-11 | SEA 2–1 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-10 | SEA 1–2 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-21 | SEA 2–6 VGK | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-08 | SEA 4–3 VGK | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-10 | VGK 5–4 SJS | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-12 | VGK 4–1 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-03-30 | VGK 3–4 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-02-16 | VGK 2–1 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-15 | VGK 2–5 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Chandler Stephenson
3games (2 left)
2.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Stephenson and Hertl done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 17–7. Stephenson had 17 points (4 goals) and Hertl had 16 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Hertl?
- Against each other, Stephenson has won 29 and Hertl 44 of their 73 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →