Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie Coyle vs John Carlson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie Coyle's 1.82.

Coyle had 58 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.

This week Coyle has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Coyle's 1.1.

John Carlson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Coyle's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, Hits 111, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.61.

Carlson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Transition attempts /60 0.96, Offensive-zone start % 52.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie Coyle

1.82

fantasy points per game

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCoyleCarlson
Goals (+2)0.460.37
Assists (+1)0.620.61
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.23
Hits (+0.1)0.140.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Coyle vs Carlson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CoyleCarlson
14Team record in 27 meetings13
9Points in those games20

Coyle 4G 5A, 43 SOG · Carlson 7G 13A, 62 SOG

1Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Coyle blocked 0 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 1 of Coyle's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Coyle's side)

4:38 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Coyle's side

Shot attempts
5–4
55.6%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
54.6%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Charlie Coyle and John Carlson
DateScoreCoyleCarlson
2025-11-24CBJ 1–5 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2025-10-24CBJ 1–5 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2024-12-31BOS 1–3 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2024-12-23BOS 4–1 WSH1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-15BOS 0–2 WSH0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2024-03-30BOS 3–2 WSH0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2024-02-10BOS 0–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-04-11BOS 5–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-10-12BOS 5–2 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-10BOS 2–4 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2022-01-10BOS 7–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-05-23 · POBOS 3–1 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 27 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CoyleCarlson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie Coyle

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie Coyle or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie Coyle's 1.82. Coyle had 58 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie Coyle or John Carlson?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Coyle and Carlson done against each other?
In 27 games against each other in our data, Coyle's team went 14–13. Coyle had 9 points (4 goals) and Carlson had 20 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →