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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Noah Cates

Charlie McAvoyCharlie McAvoyBruins · DefencevsNoah CatesNoah CatesFlyers · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.

Noah Cates has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 75, Transition attempts /60 0.56, Hardest shot 93.0.

Cates's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, Offensive-zone start % 58.9%, Expected goals 53.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyCates
Goals (+2)0.320.44
Assists (+1)0.720.35
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.16
Hits (+0.1)0.110.12
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyCates
7Team record in 11 meetings4
7Points in those games1

McAvoy 2G 5A, 16 SOG · Cates 0G 1A, 15 SOG

0Hits on each other3
1Shots blocked by the other1

McAvoy blocked 1 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 1 of McAvoy's.

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

11:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
4–10
28.6%
Expected goals
0.1–0.5
20.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Noah Cates
DateScoreMcAvoyCates
2026-04-05BOS 1–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2026-02-28BOS 1–3 PHI1G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-29BOS 6–3 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-07BOS 4–3 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-02BOS 3–0 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-29BOS 0–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-23BOS 2–3 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-16BOS 6–5 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-27BOS 6–2 PHI1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-16BOS 6–0 PHI0G 2A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-17BOS 4–1 PHI0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyCates

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Cates leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Cates done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 7–4. McAvoy had 7 points (2 goals) and Cates had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →