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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

In 2025-26, Charlie McAvoy scored 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1026, Luck Meter +70, Plus/minus +13.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.0%, High-danger chances 54.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.320.56
Assists (+1)0.720.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.18
Hits (+0.1)0.110.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyNugent-Hopkins
5Team record in 14 meetings9
4Points in those games7

McAvoy 0G 4A, 20 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 2G 5A, 28 SOG

1Hits on each other3
0Shots blocked by the other1

McAvoy blocked 0 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of McAvoy's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

10:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
5–12
29.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.7
35.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreMcAvoyNugent-Hopkins
2025-12-31BOS 6–2 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-18BOS 1–3 EDM0G 1A 3S1G 1A 3S
2025-01-07BOS 0–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-19BOS 2–3 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-05BOS 1–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-09BOS 2–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-27BOS 3–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2021-12-09BOS 3–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2021-11-11BOS 3–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2020-02-19BOS 2–1 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2020-01-04BOS 1–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2018-10-18BOS 2–3 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
In 2025-26, Charlie McAvoy scored 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 5–9. McAvoy had 4 points (0 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 7 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →