Who to start · 2025-26
Charlie McAvoy vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Charlie McAvoy has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
McAvoy's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 62, Faceoffs won 0, 20+ mph bursts 75.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Hardest shot 89.2, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Charlie McAvoy
2.41
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.43
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.
| Points per game from | McAvoy | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.72 | 0.38 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.93 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McAvoy 7G 5A, 36 SOG · Toffoli 5G 7A, 33 SOG
McAvoy blocked 2 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of McAvoy's.
On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)
2:38 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–1
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McAvoy | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | BOS 2–4 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-15 | BOS 3–0 NJD | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-30 | BOS 5–2 NJD | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-02-28 | BOS 4–3 CGY | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-11-10 | BOS 3–1 CGY | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-11-14 | BOS 5–2 MTL | 2G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2020-02-22 | BOS 3–9 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2019-12-17 | BOS 3–4 LAK | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2019-02-16 | BOS 4–2 LAK | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-02-09 | BOS 5–4 LAK | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2017-11-16 | BOS 2–1 LAK | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2017-10-28 | BOS 1–2 LAK | 0G 1A 3S | 2G 0A 7S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Charlie McAvoy
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Charlie McAvoy leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McAvoy and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 8–4. McAvoy had 12 points (7 goals) and Toffoli had 12 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →