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Who to start · 2025-26

Chris Kreider vs John Carlson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chris Kreider's 1.42.

Kreider had 50 points in 75 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.

This week Kreider has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Kreider's 1.0.

Chris Kreider has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kreider's biggest edges: Hits 69, Penalty minutes 34, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.062.

Carlson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Ascension score 53, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chris Kreider

1.42

fantasy points per game

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKreiderCarlson
Goals (+2)0.550.37
Assists (+1)0.350.61
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.23
Hits (+0.1)0.110.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.130.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kreider vs Carlson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KreiderCarlson
15Team record in 31 meetings16
18Points in those games26

Kreider 11G 7A, 72 SOG · Carlson 5G 21A, 91 SOG

5Hits on each other1
4Shots blocked by the other2

Kreider blocked 4 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 2 of Kreider's.

0Penalties drawn off the other3

On the ice against each other (Kreider's side)

4:42 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kreider's side

Shot attempts
6–4
60.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.2
27.8%
Goals
0–1

On the ice together

139:40 at 5-on-5 over 27 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
160–130
55.2%
Expected goals
8.3–5.1
61.9%
Goals
6–3

Games against each other

Games between Chris Kreider and John Carlson
DateScoreKreiderCarlson
2026-01-05ANA 4–7 WSH1G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2025-01-04NYR 4–7 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-29NYR 3–5 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-04-28 · PONYR 4–2 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-26 · PONYR 3–1 WSH1G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-04-23 · PONYR 4–3 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-04-21 · PONYR 4–1 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2024-01-14NYR 2–1 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-01-13NYR 2–3 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-27NYR 5–1 WSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-09NYR 0–4 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-04-02NYR 5–2 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 31 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KreiderCarlson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chris Kreider

2games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.0 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Chris Kreider or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chris Kreider's 1.42. Kreider had 50 points in 75 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chris Kreider or John Carlson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Chris Kreider leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kreider and Carlson done against each other?
In 31 games against each other in our data, Kreider's team went 15–16. Kreider had 18 points (11 goals) and Carlson had 26 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →