Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Christian Dvorak vs Collin Graf

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.

Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games.

This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Graf has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Graf for 1.4 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.

Christian Dvorak has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dvorak's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 629, Sequence xG 50.9%, Expected goals 50.4%.

Graf's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.0, Luck Meter +52, Hits 88.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Christian Dvorak

1.42

fantasy points per game

Collin Graf

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Christian Dvorak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDvorakGraf
Goals (+2)0.400.49
Assists (+1)0.360.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.14
Hits (+0.1)0.060.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Graf

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DvorakGraf
4Team record in 4 meetings0
4Points in those games3

Dvorak 2G 2A, 10 SOG · Graf 2G 1A, 9 SOG

On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)

8:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side

Shot attempts
9–6
60.0%
Expected goals
0.6–0.6
53.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Christian Dvorak and Collin Graf
DateScoreDvorakGraf
2026-03-21PHI 4–1 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-09PHI 4–1 SJS1G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2025-02-27MTL 4–3 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-02-04MTL 4–3 SJS0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DvorakGraf

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Christian Dvorak or Collin Graf in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Collin Graf?
On 2025-26 numbers, Christian Dvorak leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dvorak and Graf done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 4–0. Dvorak had 4 points (2 goals) and Graf had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →