Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Christian Dvorak vs Jake Guentzel

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.

Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.

This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Guentzel has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 1.9 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.3.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Dvorak's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Faceoff win % 54.5%, 20+ mph bursts 199.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.6, Ascension score 53, Scoring chances 56.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Christian Dvorak

1.42

fantasy points per game

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDvorakGuentzel
Goals (+2)0.400.88
Assists (+1)0.360.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.28
Hits (+0.1)0.060.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Guentzel

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DvorakGuentzel
4Team record in 13 meetings9
6Points in those games12

Dvorak 3G 3A, 18 SOG · Guentzel 4G 8A, 35 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other3

Dvorak's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 2–0 · Dvorak's defensive zone 1–3 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)

12:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side

Shot attempts
3–12
20.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.9
10.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Christian Dvorak and Jake Guentzel
DateScoreDvorakGuentzel
2026-01-12PHI 1–5 TBL1G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2026-01-10PHI 2–7 TBL0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-24PHI 0–3 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-09MTL 3–5 TBL1G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2025-01-21MTL 3–2 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S
2023-12-13MTL 3–4 PIT0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2022-11-12MTL 5–4 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-17MTL 3–2 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2021-11-27MTL 6–3 PIT1G 2A 5S0G 1A 9S
2021-11-18MTL 0–6 PIT0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2019-12-06ARI 0–2 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2017-12-16ARI 2–4 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DvorakGuentzel

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.3 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Christian Dvorak or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Jake Guentzel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dvorak and Guentzel done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 4–9. Dvorak had 6 points (3 goals) and Guentzel had 12 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Guentzel?
Against each other, Dvorak has won 4 and Guentzel 3 of their 7 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →