Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Carlson has 1 left. We project Carlson for 1.9 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.3.
John Carlson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.027, 20+ mph bursts 199, Shorthanded points 2.
Carlson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Hardest shot 99.8, Ascension score 53.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 4G 3A, 17 SOG · Carlson 2G 8A, 42 SOG
Dvorak blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 0 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
15:16 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–26
- 27.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–1.3
- 11.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | PHI 3–2 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-03 | PHI 4–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-30 · PO | MTL 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-27 · PO | MTL 2–5 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-25 · PO | MTL 6–3 WSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-23 · PO | MTL 1–3 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-21 · PO | MTL 2–3 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-10 | MTL 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-07 | MTL 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-10-31 | MTL 3–6 WSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-10-15 | MTL 1–3 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-16 | MTL 4–8 WSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.3 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Carlson done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 7–10. Dvorak had 7 points (4 goals) and Carlson had 10 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →