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Who to start · 2025-26

Christian Dvorak vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.

Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Ferraro for 1.6 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.

Christian Dvorak has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dvorak's biggest edges: Power-play share 47.9%, Plus/minus +11, 20+ mph bursts 199.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.7, Hits 137, Hardest shot 95.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Christian Dvorak

1.42

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mario Ferraro has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDvorakFerraro
Goals (+2)0.400.29
Assists (+1)0.360.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.13
Hits (+0.1)0.060.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DvorakFerraro
13Team record in 18 meetings5
16Points in those games5

Dvorak 7G 9A, 38 SOG · Ferraro 0G 5A, 18 SOG

3Hits on each other5

On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)

11:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side

Shot attempts
9–3
75.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
46.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Christian Dvorak and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreDvorakFerraro
2026-03-21PHI 4–1 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-09PHI 4–1 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-27MTL 4–3 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-04MTL 4–3 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-24MTL 3–2 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-28MTL 3–1 SJS1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2021-10-28MTL 4–0 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-10-19MTL 0–5 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2021-05-08ARI 5–4 SJS2G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2021-05-07ARI 5–2 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2021-04-28ARI 2–4 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2021-04-26ARI 4–6 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DvorakFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Christian Dvorak or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Christian Dvorak leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dvorak and Ferraro done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 13–5. Dvorak had 16 points (7 goals) and Ferraro had 5 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →