Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Christian Dvorak vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Dvorak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.

Morgan Frost has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Dvorak's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, On-ice PDO 1027, High-danger chances 51.9%.

Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.2, Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%.

Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Frost 13–10.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Christian Dvorak

1.42

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Christian Dvorak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDvorakFrost
Goals (+2)0.400.50
Assists (+1)0.360.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.17
Hits (+0.1)0.060.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DvorakFrost
5Team record in 9 meetings4
5Points in those games3

Dvorak 3G 2A, 15 SOG · Frost 1G 2A, 16 SOG

13Faceoffs against each other10

Dvorak's offensive zone 2–3 · neutral 6–3 · Dvorak's defensive zone 5–4 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

1Shots blocked by the other0

Dvorak blocked 1 of Frost's shots; Frost blocked 0 of Dvorak's.

On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)

4:34 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side

Shot attempts
3–5
37.5%
Expected goals
0.0–0.1
9.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Christian Dvorak and Morgan Frost
DateScoreDvorakFrost
2025-12-31PHI 1–5 CGY0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-02PHI 1–2 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-03-08MTL 0–1 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-27MTL 4–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-09MTL 9–3 PHI2G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-24MTL 5–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2022-11-19MTL 5–4 PHI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-21MTL 3–6 PHI0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2019-12-05ARI 3–1 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DvorakFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Christian Dvorak or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Frost leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dvorak and Frost done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 5–4. Dvorak had 5 points (3 goals) and Frost had 3 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Frost?
Against each other, Dvorak has won 13 and Frost 10 of their 23 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →