Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Parker Kelly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Kelly has 1 left. We project Kelly for 1.2 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
They split the 36 stats both are ranked on 18–18.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Faceoff win % 54.5%, Power-play share 47.9%.
Kelly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.2, Ascension score 55, Fenwick 56.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Parker Kelly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Kelly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 1G 2A, 17 SOG · Kelly 2G 1A, 10 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 2–1 · Dvorak's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
4:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–13
- 7.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.6
- 2.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | PHI 7–3 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-07 | PHI 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-04 | MTL 2–1 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-13 | MTL 4–5 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-31 | MTL 4–5 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-28 | MTL 0–5 OTT | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-14 | MTL 2–3 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-04-23 | MTL 4–6 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-05 | MTL 3–6 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.2 ptsSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Parker Kelly?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 18–18 across 36 stats where both qualify.
- How have Dvorak and Kelly done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 2–7. Dvorak had 3 points (1 goals) and Kelly had 3 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Kelly?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 4 and Kelly 1 of their 5 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →