Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Buchnevich for 1.5 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Christian Dvorak has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Faceoff win % 54.5%, Plus/minus +11.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.9, Goals above expected −0.4, Scoring chances 50.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Christian Dvorak has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 6G 5A, 28 SOG · Buchnevich 3G 2A, 14 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Dvorak's defensive zone 2–1 (2022-23 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
7:23 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–8
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.7
- 40.1%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | PHI 3–2 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-14 | PHI 6–5 STL | 2G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-26 | MTL 5–2 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-04 | MTL 3–6 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-01-07 | MTL 5–4 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-29 | MTL 7–4 STL | 3G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-10-22 | ARI 3–2 NYR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2018-01-06 | ARI 1–2 NYR | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2017-10-26 | ARI 2–5 NYR | 0G 1A 3S | 2G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −16.8 win%vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Christian Dvorak leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 6–3. Dvorak had 11 points (6 goals) and Buchnevich had 5 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Buchnevich?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 2 and Buchnevich 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →