Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 629, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.04, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.027.
Wilson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.0, Fenwick 55.8%, Hardest shot 91.2.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 5G 5A, 20 SOG · Wilson 8G 5A, 38 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Dvorak's defensive zone 2–0 (2021-22 to 2024-25)
Dvorak blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 0 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
12:20 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–8
- 42.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 43.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | PHI 4–6 WSH | 1G 1A 3S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-11 | PHI 4–1 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-03 | PHI 4–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-30 · PO | MTL 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-27 · PO | MTL 2–5 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-25 · PO | MTL 6–3 WSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-23 · PO | MTL 1–3 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-21 · PO | MTL 2–3 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-10 | MTL 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-07 | MTL 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-31 | MTL 3–6 WSH | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2022-04-16 | MTL 4–8 WSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Wilson done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 7–10. Dvorak had 10 points (5 goals) and Wilson had 13 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Wilson?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 2 and Wilson 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →