Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1027, Plus/minus +11, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.
Hertl's biggest edges: Ascension score 61, Fenwick 55.5%, Corsi 56.2%.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Hertl 59–41.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 5G 11A, 36 SOG · Hertl 11G 12A, 58 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 24–10 · neutral 17–17 · Dvorak's defensive zone 18–14 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Dvorak blocked 1 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 0 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
6:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–3
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.0
- 98.5%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | PHI 2–1 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-11 | PHI 2–3 VGK | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-31 | MTL 3–2 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-23 | MTL 2–6 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-24 | MTL 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-02-28 | MTL 3–1 SJS | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-29 | MTL 0–4 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2021-10-28 | MTL 4–0 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-10-19 | MTL 0–5 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-05-08 | ARI 5–4 SJS | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2021-05-07 | ARI 5–2 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2021-04-28 | ARI 2–4 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Hertl done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 13–11. Dvorak had 16 points (5 goals) and Hertl had 23 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Hertl?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 59 and Hertl 41 of their 100 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →