Who to start · 2025-26
Clayton Keller vs Connor Bedard
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15.
Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games.
This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Bedard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.4.
Clayton Keller has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Keller's biggest edges: Fenwick 56.5%, Plus/minus +21, Scoring chances 56.1%.
Bedard's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.85, Goals above expected −0.5, Faceoffs won 315.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Clayton Keller
2.03
fantasy points per game
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Keller | Bedard |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.87 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Keller vs Bedard
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Keller 5G 3A, 36 SOG · Bedard 5G 10A, 36 SOG
Keller's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Keller's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
Keller blocked 1 of Bedard's shots; Bedard blocked 0 of Keller's.
On the ice against each other (Keller's side)
19:36 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–21
- 48.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–1.6
- 30.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Keller | Bedard |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | UTA 2–3 CHI | 0G 0A 7S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2026-03-09 | UTA 2–3 CHI | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2026-03-01 | UTA 0–4 CHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-13 | UTA 1–3 CHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-30 | UTA 5–2 CHI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-03-07 | UTA 3–4 CHI | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-02-25 | UTA 2–1 CHI | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-08 | UTA 5–2 CHI | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2024-03-10 | ARI 4–7 CHI | 2G 0A 4S | 2G 1A 7S |
| 2024-03-05 | ARI 2–5 CHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-10-30 | ARI 8–1 CHI | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Clayton Keller
3games (2 left)
2.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Clayton Keller or Connor Bedard in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Clayton Keller or Connor Bedard?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Keller and Bedard done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 4–7. Keller had 8 points (5 goals) and Bedard had 15 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Bedard?
- Against each other, Keller has won 1 and Bedard 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →