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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Leon Draisaitl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Draisaitl had 97 in 65 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Draisaitl has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 3.1 ESPN points to Draisaitl's 2.0.

Leon Draisaitl has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Blocked shots 32, Hardest shot 91.3, Scoring chances 56.1%.

Draisaitl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 628, Goals above expected +0.1, Ascension score 69.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Leon Draisaitl

2.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leon Draisaitl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerDraisaitl
Goals (+2)0.591.19
Assists (+1)0.830.96
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.34
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.31
Hits (+0.1)0.010.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.10

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Draisaitl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerDraisaitl
7Team record in 24 meetings17
14Points in those games33

Keller 5G 9A, 58 SOG · Draisaitl 9G 24A, 62 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other3

Keller's offensive zone 0–3 · neutral 1–0 · Keller's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18 to 2022-23)

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Keller blocked 1 of Draisaitl's shots; Draisaitl blocked 1 of Keller's.

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

5:02 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
3–2
60.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Leon Draisaitl
DateScoreKellerDraisaitl
2025-10-28UTA 3–6 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2025-03-18UTA 1–7 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 6S
2024-11-29UTA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 5S1G 1A 5S
2024-04-17ARI 5–2 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-12ARI 3–2 EDM0G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-19ARI 3–6 EDM1G 1A 2S1G 2A 1S
2023-03-27ARI 4–5 EDM0G 1A 5S1G 1A 1S
2023-03-22ARI 3–4 EDM2G 0A 4S0G 4A 3S
2022-12-07ARI 2–8 EDM0G 0A 0S1G 1A 1S
2022-03-28ARI 1–6 EDM1G 0A 5S1G 1A 6S
2021-11-24ARI 3–5 EDM1G 2A 3S2G 2A 8S
2021-10-21ARI 1–5 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerDraisaitl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Leon Draisaitl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Leon Draisaitl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Draisaitl had 97 in 65 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Leon Draisaitl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leon Draisaitl leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Draisaitl done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 7–17. Keller had 14 points (5 goals) and Draisaitl had 33 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Draisaitl?
Against each other, Keller has won 1 and Draisaitl 3 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →