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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Lucas Raymond

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Raymond had 76 in 80 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Raymond has 1 left. We project Keller for 3.1 ESPN points to Raymond's 1.7.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.1%, High-danger chances 54.8%, Offensive-zone start % 69.8%.

Raymond's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.7, Transition attempts /60 1.93, Hits 43.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Lucas Raymond

1.78

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerRaymond
Goals (+2)0.590.59
Assists (+1)0.830.60
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.22
Hits (+0.1)0.010.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Raymond

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerRaymond
8Team record in 10 meetings2
13Points in those games4

Keller 5G 8A, 28 SOG · Raymond 1G 3A, 20 SOG

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

15:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
16–12
57.1%
Expected goals
0.9–0.5
63.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Lucas Raymond
DateScoreKellerRaymond
2026-02-04UTA 4–1 DET1G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2025-12-17UTA 4–1 DET1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-24UTA 1–5 DET0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-06UTA 4–2 DET0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-03-14ARI 4–1 DET1G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-08ARI 4–0 DET0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-17ARI 4–3 DET0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-25ARI 3–4 DET0G 1A 1S0G 2A 3S
2022-03-08ARI 9–2 DET1G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-20ARI 2–1 DET1G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerRaymond

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Lucas Raymond

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.7 pts
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Lucas Raymond in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Raymond had 76 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Lucas Raymond?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Raymond done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 8–2. Keller had 13 points (5 goals) and Raymond had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →