Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Mark Scheifele

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Scheifele has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Scheifele's 1.6.

Mark Scheifele has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.8%, Fenwick 56.5%, Expected goals 57.1%.

Scheifele's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.3, Faceoffs won 594, Luck Meter +67.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Mark Scheifele

2.23

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerScheifele
Goals (+2)0.590.82
Assists (+1)0.830.77
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.20
Hits (+0.1)0.010.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.27

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Scheifele

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerScheifele
8Team record in 25 meetings17
15Points in those games31

Keller 7G 8A, 62 SOG · Scheifele 14G 17A, 69 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

Keller's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 0–0 · Keller's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18 to 2021-22)

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other2

Keller blocked 1 of Scheifele's shots; Scheifele blocked 2 of Keller's.

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

10:09 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
12–5
70.6%
Expected goals
0.6–0.6
50.0%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Mark Scheifele
DateScoreKellerScheifele
2026-04-14UTA 5–3 WPG0G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2025-12-21UTA 4–3 WPG1G 1A 2S0G 2A 1S
2025-10-26UTA 3–2 WPG0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-04-05UTA 4–1 WPG1G 1A 3S1G 0A 6S
2025-01-24UTA 2–5 WPG0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-20UTA 5–2 WPG1G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-05UTA 0–3 WPG0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-02-25ARI 3–4 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 3A 3S
2024-01-07ARI 2–6 WPG0G 1A 2S2G 0A 3S
2023-11-18ARI 2–5 WPG0G 0A 2S1G 2A 5S
2023-11-04ARI 3–5 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-21ARI 1–2 WPG0G 1A 8S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerScheifele

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Mark Scheifele

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Mark Scheifele in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Mark Scheifele?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Scheifele leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Scheifele done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 8–17. Keller had 15 points (7 goals) and Scheifele had 31 (14 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Scheifele?
Against each other, Keller has won 0 and Scheifele 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →