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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Matt Roy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Roy's 1.8.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.6%, Offensive-zone start % 69.8%, Penalty minutes 38.

Roy's biggest edges: Hits 117, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 146.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerRoy
Goals (+2)0.590.05
Assists (+1)0.830.20
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.11
Hits (+0.1)0.010.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.211.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Roy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerRoy
9Team record in 24 meetings15
21Points in those games4

Keller 6G 15A, 68 SOG · Roy 1G 3A, 48 SOG

0Hits on each other5
2Shots blocked by the other3

Keller blocked 2 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 3 of Keller's.

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

10:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
15–10
60.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.8
39.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Matt Roy
DateScoreKellerRoy
2026-03-26UTA 4–7 WSH0G 3A 4S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-03UTA 3–2 WSH0G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-09UTA 5–4 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-18UTA 2–6 WSH0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-20ARI 1–4 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-10-27ARI 4–5 LAK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-24ARI 3–6 LAK1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-18ARI 5–6 LAK2G 0A 4S1G 0A 5S
2022-12-23ARI 2–1 LAK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-01ARI 3–5 LAK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2022-02-23ARI 2–3 LAK1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2022-02-19ARI 3–5 LAK1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerRoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Roy done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 9–15. Keller had 21 points (6 goals) and Roy had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →