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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Power-play share 71.5%, 20+ mph bursts 147, Power-play time per game 3:15.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Hits 65, Transition attempts /60 0.80.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerEkholm
Goals (+2)0.590.13
Assists (+1)0.830.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.15
Hits (+0.1)0.010.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerEkholm
8Team record in 23 meetings15
17Points in those games13

Keller 6G 11A, 77 SOG · Ekholm 3G 10A, 51 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other4

Keller blocked 1 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 4 of Keller's.

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

20:52 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
20–10
66.7%
Expected goals
1.1–0.2
84.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreKellerEkholm
2026-04-07UTA 6–5 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-24UTA 2–5 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-28UTA 3–6 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2025-03-18UTA 1–7 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 2A 3S
2024-11-29UTA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-17ARI 5–2 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-12ARI 3–2 EDM0G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-19ARI 3–6 EDM1G 1A 2S0G 2A 2S
2023-03-27ARI 4–5 EDM0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-22ARI 3–4 EDM2G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-26ARI 2–6 NSH0G 1A 6S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-13ARI 4–2 NSH0G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Ekholm done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 8–15. Keller had 17 points (6 goals) and Ekholm had 13 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →