Who to start · 2025-26
Clayton Keller vs Mikhail Sergachev
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15.
Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.
This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 3.1 ESPN points to Sergachev's 3.0.
Clayton Keller has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Keller's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.8%, Offensive-zone start % 69.8%, Plus/minus +21.
Sergachev's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.0, Faceoffs won 0, Hits 38.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Clayton Keller
2.15
fantasy points per game
Mikhail Sergachev
2.15
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.
| Points per game from | Keller | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.24 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.81 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Keller vs Sergachev
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Keller 7G 4A, 37 SOG · Sergachev 2G 1A, 27 SOG
Keller blocked 1 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 0 of Keller's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
528:06 at 5-on-5 over 85 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 570–438
- 56.5%
- Expected goals
- 25.9–21.1
- 55.1%
- Goals
- 37–26
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Keller | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-28 | ARI 3–1 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-02-15 | ARI 1–0 TBL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-31 | ARI 3–5 TBL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-02-11 | ARI 3–4 TBL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2021-10-28 | ARI 1–5 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2020-02-22 | ARI 7–3 TBL | 2G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2020-01-09 | ARI 0–4 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2019-03-18 | ARI 1–4 TBL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2018-10-27 | ARI 7–1 TBL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2018-03-26 | ARI 4–1 TBL | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2017-12-14 | ARI 1–4 TBL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Clayton Keller
3games (2 left)
3.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Mikhail Sergachev
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Clayton Keller or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Clayton Keller or Mikhail Sergachev?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Keller and Sergachev done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 5–6. Keller had 11 points (7 goals) and Sergachev had 3 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →