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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Moritz Seider

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Moritz Seider projects to 2.46 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Seider had 60 in 82 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Seider has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Seider's 2.7.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 69.8%, Ascension score 50, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.

Seider's biggest edges: Hits 128, Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +0.5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Moritz Seider

2.46

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Moritz Seider has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerSeider
Goals (+2)0.590.23
Assists (+1)0.830.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.23
Hits (+0.1)0.010.15
Blocks (+0.5)0.211.12

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Seider

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerSeider
8Team record in 10 meetings2
13Points in those games2

Keller 5G 8A, 28 SOG · Seider 0G 2A, 17 SOG

0Hits on each other3
0Shots blocked by the other3

Keller blocked 0 of Seider's shots; Seider blocked 3 of Keller's.

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

12:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
12–12
50.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.3
70.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Moritz Seider
DateScoreKellerSeider
2026-02-04UTA 4–1 DET1G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-12-17UTA 4–1 DET1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-24UTA 1–5 DET0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-06UTA 4–2 DET0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-14ARI 4–1 DET1G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-08ARI 4–0 DET0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-17ARI 4–3 DET0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2022-11-25ARI 3–4 DET0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-08ARI 9–2 DET1G 2A 3S0G 0A 3S
2021-11-20ARI 2–1 DET1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerSeider

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Moritz Seider

2games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.7 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Moritz Seider in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Moritz Seider projects to 2.46 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Seider had 60 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Moritz Seider?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Seider done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 8–2. Keller had 13 points (5 goals) and Seider had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →