Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Rickard Rakell

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rickard Rakell's 2.10.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Rakell has 1 left. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Rakell's 2.0.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 38, Sequence xG 57.1%, Expected goals 57.1%.

Rakell's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.3, Hits 71, Shorthanded points 2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Rickard Rakell

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerRakell
Goals (+2)0.590.75
Assists (+1)0.830.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.27
Hits (+0.1)0.010.13
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Rakell

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerRakell
12Team record in 25 meetings13
19Points in those games16

Keller 6G 13A, 65 SOG · Rakell 4G 12A, 60 SOG

0Hits on each other5
0Shots blocked by the other1

Keller blocked 0 of Rakell's shots; Rakell blocked 1 of Keller's.

2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

5:01 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
6–3
66.7%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
84.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Rickard Rakell
DateScoreKellerRakell
2026-03-14UTA 3–4 PIT0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-14UTA 5–4 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-29UTA 2–3 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2024-11-23UTA 6–1 PIT0G 3A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-22ARI 5–2 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-08ARI 1–4 PIT0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-13ARI 2–6 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 7S
2021-12-17ARI 6–5 ANA2G 1A 7S0G 1A 0S
2021-03-18ARI 2–3 ANA1G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2021-03-20ARI 5–1 ANA1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-02-24ARI 4–3 ANA0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2021-02-22ARI 4–3 ANA0G 2A 2S0G 0A 6S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerRakell

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Rickard Rakell

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Rickard Rakell in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rickard Rakell's 2.10. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Rickard Rakell?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Rakell done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 12–13. Keller had 19 points (6 goals) and Rakell had 16 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →