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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Robert Thomas

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left; Thomas has 1 left. We project Keller for 4.1 ESPN points to Thomas's 2.0.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.3, Shots on goal 225, Offensive-zone start % 69.8%.

Thomas's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.4, Faceoffs won 547, Luck Meter +53.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Robert Thomas

1.89

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerThomas
Goals (+2)0.590.73
Assists (+1)0.830.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.15
Hits (+0.1)0.010.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.29

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Thomas

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerThomas
14Team record in 25 meetings11
33Points in those games19

Keller 12G 21A, 53 SOG · Thomas 8G 11A, 39 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other3

Keller's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 0–2 · Keller's defensive zone 0–1 (2018-19 to 2023-24)

1Shots blocked by the other0

Keller blocked 1 of Thomas's shots; Thomas blocked 0 of Keller's.

3Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

19:51 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
15–20
42.9%
Expected goals
0.4–1.4
22.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Robert Thomas
DateScoreKellerThomas
2026-04-16UTA 3–5 STL0G 2A 1S3G 0A 3S
2026-01-09UTA 4–2 STL0G 3A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-11-29UTA 0–1 STL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-10-23UTA 7–4 STL2G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-04-15UTA 1–6 STL1G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2025-02-02UTA 1–2 STL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2025-01-18UTA 4–2 STL1G 3A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-02ARI 4–1 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-22ARI 5–6 STL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 1S
2023-11-09ARI 1–2 STL0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S
2023-10-19ARI 6–2 STL1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-07ARI 6–2 STL1G 2A 1S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerThomas

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

4.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ2.0 pts
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.0 pts

Robert Thomas

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 pts

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Robert Thomas in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Robert Thomas?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Thomas done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 14–11. Keller had 33 points (12 goals) and Thomas had 19 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Thomas?
Against each other, Keller has won 2 and Thomas 3 of their 5 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →