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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Vasily Podkolzin

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vasily Podkolzin's 1.91.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Podkolzin had 37 in 82 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Podkolzin has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Podkolzin's 1.3.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 3:15, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.19, Power-play points 27.

Podkolzin's biggest edges: Hits 242, Goals above expected +2.7, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.006.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 3 G, 1 A, 3 PPP, 11 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Vasily Podkolzin

1.91

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerPodkolzin
Goals (+2)0.590.76
Assists (+1)0.830.25
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.21
Hits (+0.1)0.010.30
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Podkolzin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerPodkolzin
2Team record in 8 meetings6
4Points in those games4

Keller 1G 3A, 23 SOG · Podkolzin 3G 1A, 6 SOG

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

17:55 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
12–12
50.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.5
37.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Vasily Podkolzin
DateScoreKellerPodkolzin
2026-04-07UTA 6–5 EDM1G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2026-03-24UTA 2–5 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-28UTA 3–6 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-18UTA 1–7 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2024-11-29UTA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 5S1G 0A 1S
2024-04-03ARI 1–2 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-16ARI 3–2 VAN0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-08ARI 1–5 VAN0G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerPodkolzin

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Vasily Podkolzin

3games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Vasily Podkolzin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vasily Podkolzin's 1.91. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Podkolzin had 37 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Vasily Podkolzin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Podkolzin done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 2–6. Keller had 4 points (1 goals) and Podkolzin had 4 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →