Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 3.1 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Plus/minus +21, Ascension score 50, Expected goals 57.1%.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.7, Faceoffs won 0, Hits 50.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerGavrikov
Goals (+2)0.590.28
Assists (+1)0.830.21
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.13
Hits (+0.1)0.010.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerGavrikov
4Team record in 13 meetings9
11Points in those games6

Keller 5G 6A, 45 SOG · Gavrikov 1G 5A, 18 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Keller blocked 1 of Gavrikov's shots; Gavrikov blocked 1 of Keller's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

17:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
16–17
48.5%
Expected goals
1.1–1.1
51.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreKellerGavrikov
2026-01-05UTA 3–2 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2025-11-22UTA 3–2 NYR1G 0A 8S1G 1A 1S
2025-04-03UTA 2–4 LAK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-22UTA 3–5 LAK0G 1A 7S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-26UTA 2–3 LAK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-20ARI 1–4 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-27ARI 4–5 LAK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-10-24ARI 3–6 LAK1G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2022-10-25ARI 6–3 CBJ0G 3A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-18ARI 4–5 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2021-10-14ARI 2–8 CBJ1G 0A 4S0G 2A 0S
2019-12-03ARI 4–2 CBJ1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 4–9. Keller had 11 points (5 goals) and Gavrikov had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →