Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs John Carlson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left; Carlson has 1 left. We project Caufield for 2.0 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.9.

Cole Caufield has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, On-ice PDO 1042.

Carlson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Ascension score 53, Blocked shots 106.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldCarlson
Goals (+2)1.180.37
Assists (+1)0.430.61
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.23
Hits (+0.1)0.080.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Carlson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldCarlson
4Team record in 18 meetings14
17Points in those games11

Caufield 10G 7A, 79 SOG · Carlson 1G 10A, 35 SOG

2Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other6

Caufield blocked 0 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 6 of Caufield's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

14:04 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
19–20
48.7%
Expected goals
0.9–1.0
47.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and John Carlson
DateScoreCaufieldCarlson
2026-03-15MTL 3–4 ANA1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-13MTL 2–3 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 7S
2025-11-20MTL 4–8 WSH0G 1A 8S0G 2A 0S
2025-04-30 · POMTL 1–4 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-04-27 · POMTL 2–5 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-25 · POMTL 6–3 WSH1G 1A 11S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-23 · POMTL 1–3 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-21 · POMTL 2–3 WSH1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-10MTL 3–2 WSH1G 1A 6S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-07MTL 2–4 WSH1G 1A 5S0G 1A 4S
2024-10-31MTL 3–6 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-17MTL 3–4 WSH0G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldCarlson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT2.0 pts

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or John Carlson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cole Caufield leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Carlson done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 4–14. Caufield had 17 points (10 goals) and Carlson had 11 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →