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Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to Caufield's 1.6.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1042, Luck Meter +66, Hits 50.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Ascension score 52, High-danger chances 54.1%, 20+ mph bursts 182.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldEhlers
Goals (+2)1.180.56
Assists (+1)0.430.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.26
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldEhlers
11Team record in 17 meetings6
14Points in those games14

Caufield 5G 9A, 45 SOG · Ehlers 4G 10A, 44 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Caufield's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Caufield's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

34:24 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
21–36
36.8%
Expected goals
0.5–2.6
16.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreCaufieldEhlers
2026-05-29 · POMTL 1–6 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2026-05-27 · POMTL 0–4 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2026-05-25 · POMTL 2–3 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-05-23 · POMTL 2–3 CAR0G 0A 1S2G 0A 5S
2026-05-21 · POMTL 6–2 CAR1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-29MTL 3–1 CAR1G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2026-03-24MTL 5–2 CAR1G 1A 2S1G 0A 5S
2026-01-01MTL 7–5 CAR1G 0A 3S1G 2A 2S
2025-01-28MTL 1–4 WPG0G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2023-12-18MTL 3–2 WPG0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-10-28MTL 4–3 WPG0G 0A 5S0G 0A 7S
2023-01-17MTL 4–1 WPG0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldEhlers

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Ehlers done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 11–6. Caufield had 14 points (5 goals) and Ehlers had 14 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Caufield or Ehlers?
Against each other, Caufield has won 0 and Ehlers 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →