Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Pavel Buchnevich

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Caufield for 1.6 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Cole Caufield has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Plus/minus +29, Transition attempts /60 1.65, Luck Meter +66.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Blocked shots 40, Faceoffs won 98, Penalty minutes 26.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldBuchnevich
Goals (+2)1.180.46
Assists (+1)0.430.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.16
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldBuchnevich
4Team record in 9 meetings5
9Points in those games7

Caufield 7G 2A, 36 SOG · Buchnevich 4G 3A, 18 SOG

0Hits on each other2

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

9:35 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
4–6
40.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.6
20.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScoreCaufieldBuchnevich
2026-01-03MTL 0–2 STL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-07MTL 3–4 STL1G 0A 5S1G 0A 1S
2024-10-26MTL 5–2 STL1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-11MTL 2–7 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-04MTL 3–6 STL0G 1A 7S0G 1A 2S
2023-01-07MTL 5–4 STL1G 0A 6S1G 0A 1S
2022-10-29MTL 7–4 STL2G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-02-17MTL 3–2 STL2G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2021-12-11MTL 1–4 STL0G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cole Caufield leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 4–5. Caufield had 9 points (7 goals) and Buchnevich had 7 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →