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Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Caufield's 1.6.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1042, Luck Meter +66, Goals above expected +8.1.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Top skating speed 23.4, Shorthanded points 6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.40

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldJarvis
Goals (+2)1.260.90
Assists (+1)0.460.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.32
Hits (+0.1)0.060.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.130.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldJarvis
4Team record in 14 meetings10
9Points in those games11

Caufield 4G 5A, 27 SOG · Jarvis 4G 7A, 44 SOG

4Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Caufield blocked 0 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 1 of Caufield's.

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

35:45 at 5-on-5 over 6 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
41–48
46.1%
Expected goals
2.4–1.8
57.2%
Goals
4–1

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreCaufieldJarvis
2026-05-29 · POMTL 1–6 CAR1G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2026-05-27 · POMTL 0–4 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2026-05-25 · POMTL 2–3 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2026-05-23 · POMTL 2–3 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-05-21 · POMTL 6–2 CAR1G 1A 1S1G 0A 5S
2026-03-29MTL 3–1 CAR1G 1A 3S0G 1A 5S
2026-03-24MTL 5–2 CAR1G 1A 2S0G 1A 5S
2025-03-28MTL 1–4 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2025-02-25MTL 4–0 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-30MTL 0–3 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2024-03-07MTL 1–4 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-28MTL 3–5 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Jarvis done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 4–10. Caufield had 9 points (4 goals) and Jarvis had 11 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →